Monday, September 15, 2025

Federal Policies Mean 2026 Population Decline in Metro Vancouver

Over the past few years, population growth has been significantly higher than typical in Metro Vancouver. While the typical growth rate has been between 1% and 2%, starting around 2021, population growth increased to approximately 4.5%. This higher growth rate put strain on local government services, among other things.

Metro Vancouver Regional District growth rate. LG = Low Growth, MG = Medium Growth, and HG = High Growth. Select the chat to enlarge.

With the recent change in federal immigration policies, the Metro Vancouver Regional District projects that the region’s population will decline by approximately 0.1% in 2026 before stabilizing at around 1% annually, which has been the typical growth rate in the region. The Regional District’s staff report does note that “until federal policies stabilize, projections will remain more volatile and subject to change.”

From a local government services delivery standpoint, it should allow us to catch up a bit. I’m hopeful other orders of government will do the same.

The following map highlights that, over the long term, immigration is expected to drive population growth in Metro Vancouver.

Projected annual average medium growth migrations for Metro Vancouver between 2028 and 2054. Select the map to enlarge.

Metro Vancouver’s population is expected to reach 4 million by 2047. Langley City’s population in 2024 was estimated to be 35,316, and is projected to be around 45,000 by 2047, according to the region's updated medium growth modelling.

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